Cycles

The speaker provides an explanation of the kondratieff wave which stipulates a 54 year cycle in the prices of various commodities.  He discusses the cause of this cycle; he believes it is due to human demographics. 

The speaker discusses why the US economy will manage to avoid a recession.  While he was incorrect, he suggested that there was an export boom.  Exports were 3 times as large as housing construction.  He states that net exports have increased net exports in a larger amount than housing detracted from the total

Video on trading commodities cycles.  Trading items like gold and coffee require that the trader have a firm grasp of the yearly cycles associated with each of these commodity types.

What is the October Effect?

The October effect is the belief that the stock market tends to decline into the month.  This is a result of a number of crashes occurring in October such as, the Panic of 1907, 1929 Crash, 1987 Crash, and the 2008 credit crisis.

Bear Market Killer

What is the January Effect?

The month of January in the stock market has strong significance in predicting the trend of the stock market for the rest of the calendar year.

History of the Kondratieff Wave