Bear Raid - Market Manipulation

Bear Raid Definition

A bear raid occurs when a group of traders manipulate a security's price in order to drive down the value of the stock.  The goal of a bear raid is to push the security lower as quickly as possible in order to create fear in the market.  This fear creates panic selling which can be used to make quick gains in short positions. 

Signs of a Bear Raid

A bear raid is a tough operation to pull off.  For starters, the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) closely monitors suspicious trading activity on the exchanges.  So, in order to execute a successful bear raid it takes more than one powerful trader.  Below are some key things to look for in a bear raid:
  1. Enourmous amounts of unsubstantiaed negative news flooding message boards, blogs, and the news media
  2. Large short sell orders continusoulsy flooding the market
This one two punch will go on until the price begins to break.  Once the market manipulators realize that the price has been driven to an extreme, they will take a long position in anticipation of the market recovering.  The end result is that the manipulators are able to beneift from both the bear raid down and the subsequent rally back to the true market value of the security.

Bear Raid Chart Example

The most recent bear raid occured in United Airlines (UAUA) in early September.  There was a story released that the company was going bankrupt and this false story was picked up by the mainstream newsmedia.  This caused a massive sell off in the stock which caused a 70% drop in a matter of minutes.  Trading was halted on the stock and the company began to vehimentally deny all of the false claims.  The stock finally began trading again and quickly rallied back to its previous level.  This is a clear example of a bear raid, where traders were able to shor the stock at $10.80 and then re-enter the market with a long position below $4. 

Bear Raid

Tim Ord
Ord Oracle

Tim Ord is a technical analyst and expert in the theories of chart analysis using price, volume, and a host of proprietary indicators as a guide...
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