Impact of Maturity on Bond Return
The speaker discusses the effects of the term to maturity on the bonds return. The question really is, who does better on a bond investment, a short term investor or a long term investor. He suggests an investment in a bond is equivalent to a series of forward loans at rates given by the forward rate curve.
Using a spreadsheet, he explains how to delineate whether a short term or long term investment is more profitable using forward rate assumptions. In essesnce, a long term bond investor is locking in a series of forward rates as implied by the forward rate curve while a short term investor would continue roll their funds over into new short term bonds as the old ones mature. The uncertainty of forward rates for a short term investor may yield a higher or lower total return depending on the rate environment in the future.
Using a spreadsheet, he explains how to delineate whether a short term or long term investment is more profitable using forward rate assumptions. In essesnce, a long term bond investor is locking in a series of forward rates as implied by the forward rate curve while a short term investor would continue roll their funds over into new short term bonds as the old ones mature. The uncertainty of forward rates for a short term investor may yield a higher or lower total return depending on the rate environment in the future.






